drplokta: (Default)
drplokta ([personal profile] drplokta) wrote2015-03-12 12:31 pm

Election

Just to observe that the latest forecast on ElectionForecast.co.uk is for 295 Conservative MPs and 24 Liberal Democrats, a total of 319, which is enough for the Coalition to stay in power with DUP support. At least until they lose a few seats in by-elections. It seems that the Tories have been picking up a bit in the polls recently. (Broken down by seat the results are slightly different and give the current coaltion parties as many 322 seats, which means that they could get a majority by adding UKIP's one MP, given that Sinn Fein's abstentionism means that 323 MPs is an effective majority.)
ext_52412: (Default)

[identity profile] feorag.livejournal.com 2015-03-12 02:34 pm (UTC)(link)
DUP have already said they won't do that.
nwhyte: (ni)

[personal profile] nwhyte 2015-03-12 02:58 pm (UTC)(link)
Nigel Dodds laid out the price in yesteday's Guardian - 2% defence spending, scrap the bedroom tax and firmer border security. Both Tories and Labour could credibly deliver on that.