And The Winner Is...

[drplokta]

...me, it would appear, in my contest to predict the election result.

There's probably enough seats declared that the figures won't change now, and my guess of Conservatives 36%, Labour 29%, Lib Dems 25%, Other 10% is closest to the actual 36%/29%/23%/12%.

Comments

[evil-mogwai.livejournal.com]

well done. I am astonished that the Lib Dems have 23% but only 51 seats.

We really need reform.

[del-c.livejournal.com]

Everybody overestimated the Lib Dems, and almost everybody underestimated the Conservatives and Others. Special mention goes to ffutures, who overestimated the Lib Dems the most, and evil_mogwai who underestimated the Conservatives the most while being the only one to overestimate the Others.

My idea of using root-sum-squared difference turned out to make no difference at all to most positions compared to sum of absolute difference, only causing ffutures and evil_mogwai to swap last place.